Random Ramblings #9 Tweets move markets

There really is no resting in these times. Last month I wrote that we should see a recovery in Indian markets & we did, for most of it. Then a Trump tweet about Pharma & some stuff re H1B sent it back down where it was. You can't rest, just actively manage positions if this is your living. US, China & BTC all up. Missed out on the Gold run, can't have everything. Q3 results will be interesting to see:

1. I think what we are witnessing is a time correction in Indian Equities. Yep we know they are overvalued & there's no momentum as China, Japan & probably other SE countries soak up flows. These things happen, domestic flows keep the Indian market afloat but no broad market rally. You just trade around it. I do not expect any meaningful bull market emerging, just pick bullish stocks (so easy, lol).

2. Infowars: I see people catching up to something I've been sounding the alarm on for so much time. India needs to do more on fighting info wars online which are hurting its citizens & compromising our safety.

3. I've been writing a decent bit on China & I see no reason to be bearish. Probably want to increase exposure here too. Diversify away from Chinese tech & into other themes like energy.

4. Speaking of energy, I am bullish on energy stocks for a bit. Think we should gain exposure to them.

5. No clue re US stocks at the time. They just keep running up despite me thinking it is time to slow down.

6. Gold ain't slowing down. I think a 4000 USD price is very likely by year end. That being said, stops are in place as when the momentum stops, I think it will stop hard.

7. People often ask me about Silver & I'm tired of explaining I have zero clue about it & never really cared for it.

8. BTC looks like a sell now. Not a short, but I am going to zero exposure for me. It has paid well, but now I'm looking elsewhere.

9. I've been saying the defence trade is over, but it appears I was wrong. It might be time to watch it again & probably buy in. Haven't decided yet.

10. Moving on from markets, I think we should celebrate people like Neerja Bhanot more. It is annoying how little people are taught history's heroes.

11. I don't think the Hamas Israel peace will come. Both are bent on killing each other.

12. I hate to say this, I really do: This is just the beginning of jihadis blowing shit in Europe and RoW. Nobody is taking them with the seriousness they deserve. Except China. US & places like Switzerland may be fine too because of guns, but not that much. These guys are evil.

13. This is true

    

14. The long term implications of this stupid war in Ukraine are terrifying to think about tbh. Putin made a completely avoidable stupid mistake & its toll is going to be bad for the world. I will maybe write more about why in the future but doesn't take a genius to see.

15. I saw a lady put 3 big ass sugar cubes in a 150 ml cup of milk. Absolutely incredible. Unbelievable that people do this.

16. Dembele deserves the Balon D'Or.

17. Trump h1b 100k plays: 1. Indian Real Estate players, the whole chain as people returing bid up real estate & rents 2. Chinese, Vietnamese, Phillipines, Taiwanese Tech. I don't know if it will be relevant though.